Inflation has been the most widely talked about development in post Covid-19 markets and for good reason. We’ve seen year-over-year changes in inflation hit 40+ year highs, almost touching 9% here in the US in 2022, with varying degrees of inflation experienced across most countries of the world, squeezing the consumer everywhere. (1)(Pickert, 2022) However, although both the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Yellen were saying that inflation was “transitory”, even as late as November 2021, (Cox, 2021) it is not entirely surprising that the global economy has continued to experience soaring inflation throughout 2022, into 2023. The entire world has emerged out of a public health crisis like no other over the past century, which has both directly and indirectly contributed to the high inflation that we’ve seen; directly through supply-chain constraints and shortages of labor and indirectly from higher rents and an enormous amount of capital created in response to Covid through both monetary (Central Bank action) and fiscal (Government action) policy expansion.
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